Notes on trading the open.
Strategy breakdowns, the math behind the numbers, and honest notes on trading YM / MYM futures at the New York open — no hype, verified data only.
What Is an Opening Range Breakout?
New to the term? A plain-English explanation of how ORB trading works, why breakouts happen, and what actually separates a working system from a coin flip.
Start here → Strategy · 9 min readThe NY Open Breakout Strategy: A Complete Guide
Why the New York open moves the way it does, and the four questions every opening-range-breakout strategy has to answer — zones, breaks, stops, and targets.
Read the guide → Trading math · 7 min readWhy a 47% Win Rate Can Still Be Profitable
The math behind why a strategy that's wrong more than half the time can still be net profitable — worked through with a real 100-trade example.
Read the math → Charting · 6 min read5-Minute vs. 15-Minute Charts: Choosing Your Timeframe
Trading a breakout on the wrong timeframe is one of the most common reasons a sound strategy produces inconsistent results. Here's the framework that fixes it.
Read the framework → Process · 7 min readHow to Journal Trades So You Actually Learn From Them
Most trade journals get abandoned in two weeks. What to actually record, when to record it, and why the 10-minute rule matters more than the format.
Read the guide → Real data · 7 min readTrading a $50K Topstep Express Account: 100 Trades
What actually changes when you trade a funded evaluation account instead of sim or personal capital — and the full 100-trade result from doing it.
Read the data →